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Know why your Kalshi market moved

Paste a link to any Kalshi market and get one short email each morning: the price, what moved it, and what to watch next

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A sample brief, built from the Fed market on October 15
BRIEFDOM MARKETS
Fed decision in Oct 2026?
ECONOMICSTHU OCT 1513 DAYS TO RESOLUTION
Fed maintains rate · YES
72¢
≈ 2 in 3 chance
▲ +12 pts in 24h▼ −12 pts in 7 days Sept CPI release

Dashed line: September CPI release, Wed Oct 14, 7:30 AM CT (per the release calendar).

THE READ · STORY DAY
Hold odds sank to 52¢ on September's hot CPI report, then recovered to 72¢.
Consumer prices rose 3.7% from a year earlier, and “Fed maintains rate” fell to 52¢ after the release as traders priced in an October hike. It climbed back after Citigroup and other major brokerages said they expect the next hike in December instead.
▲ PUSHES YES UPFed officials signal a pause before the Oct 27–28 meeting
▼ PUSHES YES DOWNMore data showing inflation spreading beyond gas prices
What moved the market
  • CNBC · Wed Oct 14Consumer prices rose 3.7% annually in September as gas prices skyrocketSeptember CPI rose 0.6% for the month, driven by gas prices.
  • Reuters · Wed Oct 14Citi turns hawkish on Fed after inflation surprise, expects December rate hikeCitigroup dropped its no-more-hikes call and now expects December.
  • Reuters · Thu Oct 15Factbox-Major brokerages expect next Fed rate hike in DecemberBofA, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan all see the next hike in December.
Key dates
  • OCT 27Two-day FOMC meeting begins
  • OCT 28Fed rate decision announced
  • OCT 28 1:05 PMExpected resolution (per Kalshi)

Every brief answers four questions

Where is the price?

The current odds, the 24-hour and 7-day change, and a chart, straight from Kalshi

What moved it?

We read the day's coverage and tie a move to news when relevant

What could move it next?

Concrete things to watch, each tied to a date or a source

What's coming up?

Key dates, the news worth reading, and how the market resolves

How it works

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Questions

Which markets work?

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Is this trading advice?

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Information, not trading advice. Prices from Kalshi; not affiliated with or endorsed by Kalshi. Questions or feedback? Reply to any brief or write to info@briefdom.co